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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+4.00vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.49+10.88vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70+2.65vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+4.47vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.55+1.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.85+4.93vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+0.83vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+0.91vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-4.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.07+3.08vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-3.42vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-0.31+0.93vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-6.60vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-9.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.72-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.65Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.08Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.08University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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14.93University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.4University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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12.35Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 5.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katelon Egan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 27.1% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 43.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.