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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+4.29vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+3.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+2.69vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+4.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+1.51vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+0.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.89-1.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.85+3.13vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49+3.01vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.73-1.92vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-3.49vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of Miami-0.31+0.92vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-5.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.89-7.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.62Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.33Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.12Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.78Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.36Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 11.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 42.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.