← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.03+6.78vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.34vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.70+2.68vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.69+1.74vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.89-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.52+3.90vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.91+1.34vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.73+0.82vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.86-0.30vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.89-1.66vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin0.85+1.02vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.40-5.32vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.02vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University2.55-7.70vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.72-2.74vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami-0.31-1.04vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara0.07-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.78Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.34U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
5.68Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
5.74Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
4.99Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
9.9Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.34Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
8.82George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
-
8.7Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.34University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
12.02University of Wisconsin0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.68Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
13.02SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
-
6.3Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
-
12.26Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
14.96University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
-
14.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Maus | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ella Reinemann | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 6.5% |
| Talia Toland | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 13.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.8% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 41.5% |
| Katelon Egan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.