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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+4.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+6.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+3.01vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.67+7.90vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+4.61vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65+2.53vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.16-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-0.97vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.68+0.92vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.69-3.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-4.92vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.67-2.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-9.33vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-11.20vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.60-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.53Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.54Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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9.03Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.92SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.8Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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15.22University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 8.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Emily Allen | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 9.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Leah Harper | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.