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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+4.30vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.76+9.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+5.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+0.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.38vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+1.52vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.67vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-5.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-1.63vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-5.72vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-3.00vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.68-1.88vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.67-3.05vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.67-3.94vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-0.60-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.52Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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4.9Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.0Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.12SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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15.3University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 6.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 9.1% |
| Leah Harper | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.