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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+1.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40-0.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44-0.96vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8U. S. Naval Academy2.6025.4%1st Place
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3.81Old Dominion University1.5910.8%1st Place
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2.78Georgetown University2.4024.6%1st Place
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2.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.8%1st Place
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4.04George Washington University1.449.7%1st Place
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4.77Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 25.4% | 22.3% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 16.7% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.6% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 10.3% | 3.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 4.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 24.6% | 23.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.