← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.41+4.74vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.30+4.17vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.77+5.10vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.70+1.03vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.55+0.25vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.42vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.10vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.67+3.75vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.76vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.44-0.75vs Predicted
-
11Jacksonville University1.65-2.34vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.68+0.01vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami0.67-0.89vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.28-3.94vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.76-3.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin-0.60-0.72vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University2.16-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.74Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
6.17Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
5.03Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
-
5.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.9U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
11.75Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
-
9.25Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.66Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
12.01SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
-
12.11University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.06Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
11.68University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
-
6.83Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 9.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Emily Allen | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Leah Harper | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 8.4% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 55.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.