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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.70+3.68vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+2.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+0.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+0.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+3.09vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.13vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.60+3.87vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.67-0.39vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-5.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.73vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of Miami-0.62-1.05vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.68-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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6.42Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.51Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.13Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.39Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.87University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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14.95University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.59SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.7% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 23.8% | 41.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 24.8% | 39.2% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.