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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+4.89vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+4.79vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.03+6.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.76+6.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41-1.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.70-3.26vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.10vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-4.85vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.28-1.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.67-1.27vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.68-2.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-9.26vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.60-1.08vs Predicted
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17University of Miami-0.62-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.39Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.35Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.14University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.74Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.1Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.15Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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14.92University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 24.0% | 39.5% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 23.2% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.