← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.44+7.71vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College0.68+9.45vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.70+1.77vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+6.22vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.30+0.86vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.67+5.80vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.41-1.40vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.03+1.62vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.76+1.31vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University2.16-4.42vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami-0.62+2.89vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.28-3.33vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.77-6.05vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin-0.60-0.20vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University2.55-10.75vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Naval Academy2.40-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.71Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
-
11.45SUNY Maritime College0.680.0%1st Place
-
4.77Bowdoin College2.700.2%1st Place
-
10.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.0%1st Place
-
5.86Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.8Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
-
5.6Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
10.62Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
6.58Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
14.89University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.67Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
7.95Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
14.8University of Wisconsin-0.600.0%1st Place
-
5.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
5.77U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Marleigh Henehan | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 23.3% | 39.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Lusty | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 23.0% | 39.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.