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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+1.03vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.82+2.09vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.96+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.48-0.34vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30-2.34vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.15-1.49vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Florida Institute of Technology0.780.4%1st Place
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4.09Rollins College-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.33Embry-Riddle University-0.960.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Florida-0.480.1%1st Place
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2.66Rollins College0.300.2%1st Place
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4.51Jacksonville University-1.150.1%1st Place
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6.73Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 43.5% | 28.0% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Herminio Agront | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 21.1% | 2.3% |
| Tanner Cummings | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.7% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 3.9% |
| Meredith McIntosh | 11.1% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 23.0% | 29.7% | 21.2% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Carter Miller | 6.6% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 32.1% | 4.4% |
| Jared Williams | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.