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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.99vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.82+2.08vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.96+1.32vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.15+0.61vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.30-2.37vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.48-2.37vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-3.72-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Florida Institute of Technology0.780.4%1st Place
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4.08Rollins College-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.32Embry-Riddle University-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.61Jacksonville University-1.150.1%1st Place
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2.63Rollins College0.300.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Florida-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.72Georgia Institute of Technology-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smucker | 44.6% | 27.6% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Herminio Agront | 8.5% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 22.7% | 21.0% | 1.9% |
| Tanner Cummings | 6.9% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 21.8% | 26.4% | 3.2% |
| Carter Miller | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 21.4% | 32.3% | 5.7% |
| Jackson McGeough | 22.8% | 30.5% | 21.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Meredith McIntosh | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Jared Williams | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 87.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.