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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.80vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+2.74vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+1.13vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-2.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.5%1st Place
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4.74Christopher Newport University0.736.0%1st Place
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4.13George Washington University1.448.8%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Naval Academy2.6025.7%1st Place
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2.76Georgetown University2.4024.6%1st Place
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3.81Old Dominion University1.5911.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 23.5% | 23.2% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 47.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 25.4% | 24.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 25.7% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 3.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.6% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.4% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 23.4% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.