← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.80+8.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.80+7.34vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.59+3.25vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.42+2.60vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.09+2.87vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.06vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+6.43vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.69-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.47-2.59vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.84-0.79vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.57-1.62vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.82-4.13vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.19+0.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.83-6.05vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.16-4.20vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan2.03-4.78vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.27-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.33College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.34University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
-
6.25Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
6.6Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.06SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
13.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.68Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
6.41Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.21Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
10.38Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
8.87Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
14.49Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
11.8Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
12.22University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
-
14.52University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Alex Abate | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
| JC Hermus | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 30.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.