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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+4.90vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+2.63vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+1.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+4.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.93vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16+2.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-0.82vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.19+3.82vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.80-2.55vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.59-6.99vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-5.26vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-2.97vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-2.51vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-8.94vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.1Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.65Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.82Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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9.45College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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13.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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14.52University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 34.6% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Alex Abate | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 19.7% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.