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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.03vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.24vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.60vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+1.99vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.80+4.01vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.52+10.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83+0.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+4.33vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-0.83vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-4.37vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.57-1.70vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.69-7.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.80-5.27vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-3.07vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-4.44vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.19-2.29vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.09-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.99Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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16.07University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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13.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.3Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.56Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.71Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 53.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 9.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| JC Hermus | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 25.9% | 22.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.