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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+5.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+2.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+6.44vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.97vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.80+2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-0.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.47vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.19+3.60vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.29vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.69-7.46vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.84-5.39vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.47-8.59vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-6.02vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-0.79vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.44Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.03College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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14.6Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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16.21University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 10.5% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 54.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.