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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+4.90vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+4.19vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+3.76vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.80+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.03+4.99vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-1.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.57-1.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.52+2.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.72vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-6.97vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-5.33vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.19-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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16.0University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.03Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.67Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.52Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 52.4% |
| Alex Abate | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 24.6% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.