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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+6.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.51vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+2.95vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+5.76vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-2.99vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.80-0.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03+0.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.83-5.21vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-4.96vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.52+0.24vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.84-7.89vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.19-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.76Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.02SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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16.24University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.65Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 55.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.8% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 27.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.