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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+10.29vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+4.25vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.16+8.90vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+4.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+1.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09+2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+2.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03+1.26vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.84-2.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-6.39vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.70vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.80-5.87vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.69-10.16vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.19-2.12vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.52-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.9Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.01SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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9.31Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.88Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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16.1University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ped | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 25.8% | 26.1% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 17.8% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.