← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.42+5.81vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.59+4.14vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.69+2.74vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+4.83vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.33vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.84+2.79vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.90vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.47-1.66vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.80-0.75vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.09-3.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.29vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University2.16-1.64vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.57-4.39vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.80-6.01vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida0.52+0.15vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan2.03-4.90vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.19-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.81Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
6.14Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
5.74Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.83Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
8.79Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
6.34Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
9.25University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.96Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
12.29University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
-
11.36Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.61Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
8.99College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
-
16.15University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
-
12.1University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
-
14.5Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| John Ped | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 54.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.