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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.09+7.01vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+4.76vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.60vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.91vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.94vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.99vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-3.41vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.19+4.74vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16+0.66vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.15vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.85vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-6.17vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.59-9.98vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.52-0.84vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.97College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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5.59Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.74Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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11.66Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.02Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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16.16University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| JC Hermus | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 24.9% | 23.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Sweeting | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 54.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.