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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.77vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.77vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.47+1.36vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.59-0.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.94vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80+0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+3.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-3.22vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03+0.27vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-4.35vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-2.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.80-6.09vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-5.56vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.19-2.14vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.04Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.77SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.98Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.18Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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14.86Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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14.46University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 18.5% | 35.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.