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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.60vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.46+8.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.59+3.04vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.19+10.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.69+0.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.96vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.03+5.05vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+0.15vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-3.01vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.16-0.13vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-5.79vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27+0.30vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-8.54vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.80-6.94vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-4.78vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.84-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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14.56Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.87Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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14.3University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston2.800.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Parkin | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Seth Rizika | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 33.9% |
| JC Hermus | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 7.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 28.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.