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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.77vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.69+3.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03+7.90vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.03+6.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.98vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.32vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.59-2.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46+1.39vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57+0.18vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-1.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-5.29vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.16vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.80-5.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.16-3.47vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.02vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.19-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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10.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.91Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.18Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston2.800.1%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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14.85Cornell University1.190.0%1st Place
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14.41University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 7.9% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Seth Rizika | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 35.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.