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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.99+5.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+6.32vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.35+4.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.89vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.93+4.24vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-0.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.41+3.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.03vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-2.82vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.23-3.13vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-5.52vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.59vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.19-5.76vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.77vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.24Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.71Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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6.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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8.48Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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15.07University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| James Paul | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Gray Benson | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.