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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.01vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+3.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.35vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+4.91vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.35+3.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.41+5.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+1.72vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.69-1.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-2.00vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-2.80vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-4.10vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.93-3.10vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-6.23vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.19-5.71vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.49-8.00vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.81Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.9Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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15.07University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| James Paul | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Gray Benson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.9% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.