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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+6.06vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+6.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.93vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.23+4.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.89vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-0.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.04-3.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-1.98vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.93-0.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.19-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.41-1.12vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.62vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.89vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-6.19vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.92College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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8.81Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.61Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.02SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.81Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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15.08University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Gray Benson | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.