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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.77vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.82vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+0.78vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+0.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-2.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77U. S. Naval Academy2.6025.4%1st Place
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2.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5722.7%1st Place
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3.78Old Dominion University1.5912.3%1st Place
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4.17George Washington University1.449.0%1st Place
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2.68Georgetown University2.4025.9%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University0.734.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 25.4% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 22.7% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 16.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 25.5% | 25.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.9% | 24.9% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.