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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.99+5.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+7.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+5.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+2.39vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+3.78vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.50+2.59vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.93+3.96vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50-0.45vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-1.10vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.23-1.11vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.01vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.41-0.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.39vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.77-0.04vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.69-8.11vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.07-6.43vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.09-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.96Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.89College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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14.96University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.57Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.85SUNY Maritime College1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Gray Benson | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 39.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| John Vail | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 19.4% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.