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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.08vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+4.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.35+3.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-0.30vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+1.07vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93+2.34vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.50-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.41+1.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.23-4.96vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.63-7.55vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.35-7.34vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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7.08Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.07Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.34Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.04College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.66SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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15.11University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Gray Benson | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 23.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.