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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.91vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.63+6.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+6.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.03vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+5.58vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.50+2.96vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+2.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.49-0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-2.50vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.99-6.20vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.82vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.41-1.77vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.93-4.61vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.35-7.38vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.58Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.62SUNY Maritime College2.350.1%1st Place
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15.11University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| James Paul | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Spencer Barnes | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.