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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+7.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+3.85vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.41+8.11vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.85vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.23+3.09vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.42vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.19+1.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-1.77vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.49-2.69vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-4.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-4.81vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.93-3.78vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-5.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.63-8.58vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.79Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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13.11University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.09College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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10.19SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.22Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.79Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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15.09University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 19.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Gray Benson | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| James Paul | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.