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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.15vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.35+6.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+3.11vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99-0.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.81vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63-0.76vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.59vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-2.00vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.19-1.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-2.47vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.23-4.30vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-8.22vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.77-0.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.93-5.56vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.41-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.86Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.0Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.62SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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15.28University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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11.44Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| James Paul | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 47.0% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.