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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.19+9.36vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+7.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.35+5.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.05vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.07+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.46vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+2.62vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.93+2.24vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-0.83vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.23-0.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-5.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.69-6.19vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.41-1.81vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.50-7.05vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.50-8.04vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.77-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.36SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.5Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.24Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.04University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gray Benson | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 18.4% |
| James Paul | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.