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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+5.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.97vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.50+3.84vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+5.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.77vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.25vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.41+2.33vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.23-1.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.63vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.19-4.83vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.69-7.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.77-1.68vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.07-11.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.84Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.27Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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13.33University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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10.37Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.17SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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15.32University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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6.32Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| James Paul | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| Axel Stordahl | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Gray Benson | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 47.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.