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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+8.15vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+4.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+6.07vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+1.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.50+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.48vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.23+1.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.41+3.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.14vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.93-0.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.19-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.77+0.92vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-6.21vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-9.04vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.69-8.78vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.35-8.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.07Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.44University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.86Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.61Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.07SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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14.92University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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8.79Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.22Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| J.J. Smith | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 42.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.