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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+4.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.07+0.55vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.69+1.04vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+0.76vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.19+1.20vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45-0.62vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-1.94vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.23-1.59vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.41+0.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.93-3.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-4.34vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.50-7.12vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.77-1.70vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.35-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.84Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.2SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.06Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.41College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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10.96Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.88Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.3University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| James Paul | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 46.2% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.