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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.93+10.40vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+7.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+3.86vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+5.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+3.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.19+3.24vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.35+0.46vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.50-0.82vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.07-4.34vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.53vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.41+0.11vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-7.36vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-5.61vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.69-7.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.77-1.72vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College2.190.1%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.66Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.11University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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6.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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15.28University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Gray Benson | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Nick Chisari | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| James Paul | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 19.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 45.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.