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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+8.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+7.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23+5.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+4.40vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04-0.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50-0.20vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.07-3.25vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.35-1.34vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.19-1.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.50-4.33vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.60vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.93-3.79vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.69-7.87vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.77-1.72vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.41-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.1Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.94College of Charleston2.230.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.75Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Pennsylvania2.350.0%1st Place
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10.6SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.21Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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15.28University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| James Paul | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Axel Stordahl | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Javier Garcon | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 47.1% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.