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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.45+7.40vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+6.34vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.35+5.04vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+1.83vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-0.83vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-1.79vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-1.22vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.41+0.53vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-4.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-5.49vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.93-4.39vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.23-6.51vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.77-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.27Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.51Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.61Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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14.38University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Mckenna | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gray Benson | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Micky Munns | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 20.5% |
| James Paul | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Axel Stordahl | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Heidi Hicks | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.