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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.57vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.19+6.56vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.35+5.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+1.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.32vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69-0.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.23+0.70vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.07-3.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.93-0.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-3.63vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.41-0.39vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-5.44vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.77-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-7.02vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College2.190.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.32Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.7College of Charleston2.230.0%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.37Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.61University of Michigan1.410.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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14.31University of South Florida0.770.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Javier Garcon | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Axel Stordahl | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| J.J. Smith | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Sherman Thompson | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| James Paul | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Heidi Hicks | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 45.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.