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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+5.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.56vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+9.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+4.88vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.74vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+2.71vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+2.91vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91+2.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+2.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.82vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.09-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.07-3.14vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-7.39vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-8.25vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.77-4.49vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.70-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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12.68Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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4.26Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.71George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.47University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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7.75Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.51Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.5Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 16.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 21.6% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| John McKenna | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% |
| David Eastwood | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Richard McCann | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% |
| matthew Monts | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.