← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+6.58vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.38+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.93+1.36vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.94+3.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami2.07+6.12vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.94+1.72vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.68+1.71vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+0.51vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.91+2.87vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.61-0.71vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.64vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-4.83vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.05vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.11-3.27vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.70-2.41vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.75-3.44vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.09-5.71vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University1.77-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
6.07Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
4.36Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
-
7.61Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
11.12University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
-
7.72Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.71George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
-
11.87Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
9.29Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
12.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.73University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
12.59Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
-
12.56Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
-
11.29University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
-
12.24Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 16.7% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Richard McCann | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Matt Logue | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| David Eastwood | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| John McKenna | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| matthew Monts | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.