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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.78vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+1.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.21vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+0.18vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-2.24vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78U. S. Naval Academy2.6024.9%1st Place
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3.71Old Dominion University1.5912.8%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.2%1st Place
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4.18George Washington University1.448.6%1st Place
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2.76Georgetown University2.4024.6%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University0.736.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 24.9% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.8% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 14.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.2% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.6% | 23.6% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 20.6% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.