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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.54vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+4.81vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+2.72vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+3.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+4.98vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.38-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07+3.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.27vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.75+1.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+0.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-3.84vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-7.48vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-5.13vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.12-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.81Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.65George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.94Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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12.35Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.33Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Matt Logue | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Richard McCann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| David Eastwood | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| John McKenna | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.