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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+5.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.19vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.75+9.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+3.56vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.93-1.76vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+2.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.01-1.80vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68-1.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+1.52vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91+0.12vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.07-3.20vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.12-0.54vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-8.31vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.77-4.60vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.57Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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12.12Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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14.46Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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7.69Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.4Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| David Eastwood | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.7% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Logue | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| John McKenna | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Griffin Richardson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 33.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.