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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+7.78vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+5.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+6.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+3.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.07vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+4.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-0.34vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.75+2.75vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.93-6.60vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.01-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.09-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.07-3.07vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-8.24vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.91-4.07vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.70-4.24vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.71Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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8.66George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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12.75Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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4.4Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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6.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.76Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
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12.29Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| John McKenna | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.8% |
| Matt Logue | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 16.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.6% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Richard McCann | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| Jake Vickers | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| matthew Monts | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.