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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.55vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+5.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.47vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+2.66vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.94+1.66vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+4.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+0.94vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.75+3.46vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.07+1.49vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-4.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.09-3.18vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.38-9.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-3.41vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.77-4.46vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.70-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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12.54Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.46Eckerd College1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Logue | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| David Eastwood | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 16.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.6% |
| matthew Monts | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.