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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.23+8.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.69vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.63+5.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+2.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+0.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+0.70vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62-0.07vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-1.11vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.11+2.84vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-3.96vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.94+0.01vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.66-7.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-2.49vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.84-5.67vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.81-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.84Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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9.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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14.01Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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13.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.33Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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14.51Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Edward Cook | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 21.3% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 23.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| David Pearce | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.